New threats come to light post Covid
Recent studies show that the public remain concerned over terror threats and crime following the easing of lockdown rules and the return to normality The end of lockdown could open the door for terrorists to strike against public transport and other bustling areas as public spaces begin to open up again. A number of recent surveys from organisations and the public have come to light recently detailing that there is a heavy concern of terror threats post Covid. Transport hubs would be among the first places to be crowded with people again and would be easy for extremists to gain access, as the public return to work and travel to meet friends and family who they haven’t seen in over a year. Analysts at Pool Reinsurance warned of extremists who might have been radicalised during the pandemic or delayed terrorist plans because of Covid-19. “Terrorist actors who have been unable to conduct mass-casualty attacks during lockdowns may execute these plans once restrictions lift,” they said. The report warned that a successful attack could further postpone the economic recovery from Covid-19 by triggering anxiety over travelling. Analysts said security services should pay attention not only to well-fortified sites in urban areas but to less obvious targets in the suburbs. “Public transport networks present the opportunity to strike simultaneously at the general population and critical national infrastructure,” the report said. “Furthermore, attacks can generate significant public anxiety, undermine confidence in the ability of the government to provide security, and cause widespread economic and societal disruption. “This is of particular importance in the current situation where transport will be integral to the post-Covid economic recovery.” Matt Twist, a Senior Metropolitan Police Counterterrorism Officer, urged people this week to be vigilant against terrorism as they start to resume more normal lives. “As the crowded places which have traditionally been the target for terrorists start to fill with people again, there is always the potential for that risk to come back,” he said, explaining that extremist groups, especially on the far right, used Covid-19 conspiracy theories to attract young supporters. Meanwhile, the Pool Reinsurance report said the main threat of mass-casualty attacks came from Islamist extremists. In Britain’s worst terror attack on public transport, 52 people died when suicide bombers attacked buses and trains in London in 2005. As lockdown is eased and the threat of COVID-19 infection subsides, it is natural that people will want to enjoy socialising outdoors in the warmer weather In 2017, a bomb partially exploded on a London Underground train in an incident which injured dozens.The risk assessment said dissident Irish republicans could carry out disruptive attacks but were less likely to inflict mass casualties. Potential terrorists were most likely to use low-tech methods, such as knives, because such attacks were easy to plan and hard to prevent, it said.For most extremists there has been a “shift towards using more rudimentary methods” in attacks on public transport, the report said. This is probably a result of low-complexity attacks being easier for terrorists to conduct undetected when compared with more sophisticated methodologies such as explosives. The coronavirus lockdown sparked fears that young and vulnerable people were at risk of being drawn into terrorism. Social distancing measures meant that teachers and social workers were less likely to spot signs of radicalisation, police said last year. The new survey, carried out by Crowdguard, highlighted that there is continuing public concern about terror attacks, with 72% of people saying that terrorism was on their mind when attending mass gatherings. 82% of people said they would feel safer in urban areas if vehicle security barriers were in place to protect against vehicle as a weapon (VAW) attacks, as well. The Government downgraded the terror threat level from ‘Severe’ to ‘Substantial’ in February, while an ongoing consultation is currently underway on the new Protect Duty – legislation designed to improve security procedures in public spaces. “As lockdown is eased and the threat of COVID-19 infection subsides, it is natural that people will want to enjoy socialising outdoors in the warmer weather,” explains Deborah Ainscough, Director at Crowdguard. “Many local authorities are facilitating this with enhanced public realm spaces, which include pedestrianisation and outdoor dining area initiatives. “But the virus is not the only risk and social distancing, mask wearing and hand washing are not the only forms of protection needed. As people begin to gather in public locations again, the potential for VAW attacks is increased, so careful consideration needs to be given to both protection strategies and providing confidence that urban areas can be enjoyed safely.” After more policing and increased detainment of terror suspects, more protective barriers were the most popular measures cited by survey respondents, with 57% of those who completed the survey calling for this. The public wants to see visible and robust protection to give them confidence to enjoy our towns and cities again Deborah continues: “As a nation, we have been through a very difficult period where the safety of our loved ones has been threatened by the pandemic and this has affected people’s general perceptions of wellbeing, risk and the need to protect those closest to them. “In the meantime, the pandemic has been a breeding ground for conspiracy theorists and extremists, increasing the potential sources of terror threats. The ‘Substantial’ alert level indicates that we still need to be on our guard and 20% of respondents to our survey thought the threat level was still at ‘Severe’, indicating how vulnerable and concerned people feel. “I am not surprised by the results of the survey. I think they provide a clear indication that the public wants to see visible and robust protection to give them confidence to enjoy our towns and cities again, with 72% saying they felt more at risk following the tragic Manchester attack – there is clearly still a lot of work that needs to be done. At a time when we need to encourage footfall in urban locations to drive
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